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NASA formally announces that asteroid 2024 YR4 now poses "no significant threat" to Earth in 2032 and beyond

Peace negotiations in the Russo-Ukrainian war — NASA formally announces that asteroid 2024 YR4 now poses "no significant threat" to Earth in 2032 and beyond as the chances of an impact drop to 1-in-59,000 (0.0017%). This means a

Published February 24, 2025· Updated October 28, 2026·1 min read

Context: Peace negotiations in the Russo-Ukrainian war.

NASA formally announces that asteroid 2024 YR4 now poses "no significant threat" to Earth in 2032 and beyond as the chances of an impact drop to 1-in-59,000 (0.0017%). This means a planetary defense mission to intercept and deflect the object in 2028 during a close flyby of Earth is no longer necessary. [https://blogs.nasa.gov/planetarydefense/2025/02/24/latest-calculations-conclude-asteroid-2024-yr4-now-poses-no-significant-threat-to-earth-in-2032-and-beyond/ (NASA)] [https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/02/asteroid-2024-yr4-may-be-a-dud-but-we-will-soon-find-many-more-threats/ (Ars Technica)]

Event summary via Wikipedia Current Events (2025-02-24).